LUCKNOW: Fourteen years after BSP’s Dalit-Brahmin social engineering earned it a majority by itself for the primary and the one time in Uttar Pradesh, the occasion on Sunday brushed mud off the method to faucet into the group’s disgruntlement over its perceived sidelining by a pro-Thakur Yogi Adityanath dispensation forward of the essential 2022 polls.
Saying the revival of the method, occasion chief Mayawati mentioned the Brahmin outreach can be spearheaded by her second-in-command and occasion normal secretary Satish Chandra Mishra from Ayodhya, a key rallying level for BJP and allies.
“I’m assured that Brahmins won’t vote for BJP within the subsequent Meeting polls. A marketing campaign below the management of our occasion normal secretary Satish Chandra Mishra shall be launched from Ayodhya on July 23 to attach with the Brahmins and guarantee them that their pursuits are protected solely below the BSP’s rule,” Mayawati mentioned.
In line with BSP sources, at the least six Brahmin conferences can be convened throughout the state to draw the essential Brahmin vote financial institution, which not solely performed a pivotal function in bringing BSP to energy in 2007, but additionally ended the 16-year-old period of coalition politics in UP. Earlier than 2007, the final majority authorities was headed by BJP’s Kalyan Singh in 1991.
Sources mentioned the spadework for the revival of the join started six months in the past, when Mishra despatched out feelers to outstanding Brahmin caste our bodies in 70 out of 75 districts.
The Bhaichara Committees (brotherhood) that performed a key function in BSP’s social engineering by bringing below a typical banner the SC, MBC, EBC and Brahmin votes, too, are being revived to win again the non-Jatav votes, which have moved to the BJP after the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.
Joins name for oppn unity
Mayawati mentioned Opposition events ought to come collectively to carry the Centre accountable on its apathy in direction of farmers, amongst different points. “BSP will elevate gasoline and LPG value, inflation and vaccination within the monsoon session of Parliament,” she mentioned.
Mayawati engineering revival amid grave existential disaster
Decreased to a pale shadow of its former self, the BSP’s try to revive the method would possibly seem to be a determined try to stay related in UP, however in line with political observers, it’s a properly calculated technique to harness the Brahmin disgruntlement. Nevertheless, the BJP hit again, alleging the BSP chief is “remembering” the Brahmins solely due to meeting elections subsequent 12 months and is pursuing “opportunistic politics”.
“Although the 10-12% Brahmin votes tilted the stability in BJP’s favour in 2017, the saffron occasion had galvanized the non-Yadav, MBC, EBC and the non-Jatav SC votes. The BSP senses a possibility right here as there’s a disillusionment among the many Brahmins in direction of BJP, significantly resulting from Yogi Adityanath’s pro-Thakur and anti-Brahmin picture. The caste arithmetic can yield the occasion a stable vote block of 30-35% if it brings collectively Brahmin, SC and MBC/EBC votes. Then its process can be to woo the Muslim votebank (15-18%) to maintain it from going over to Akhilesh Yadav-led SP,” an observer mentioned.
The BSP, which completed second to Mulayam Singh Yadav-led SP in 2002 with 98 seats (23.06% votes), made main good points in 2007, by securing 206 seats with 30.43% vote share by consuming into 3.11% BJP vote and three% Congress vote, which have been the normal loyal Brahmin vote of the 2 events.
The BSP’s 2007 profitable Dalit-Brahmin social engineering, whose basis was being laid by Satish Chandra Mishra since 2005, was popularized by slogans like Brahmin Shankh Bajayega Haathi Badhta Jaayega and Haathi Nahi Ganesh Hain Brahma Vishnu Mahesh Hain.
“Out of the 206 seats gained by BSP in 2007, 45-50 MLAs (22-24%) have been Brahmins, together with younger leaders like Nakul Dubey, Rakesh Dhar Tripathi and ex-BJP man Rangnath Mishra. Greater than 10 cupboard ministers and 15 MLCs, too, have been Brahmins, owing to which the BSP began being dubbed as Brahmin Samaj Occasion in 2007.
However rampant corruption fees, excessive anti-incumbency and improve in circumstances of SC/ST Atrocities Act in opposition to higher castes, significantly alienated Brahmins from the BSP, resulted within the BSP shedding the 2012 polls to younger Akhilesh Yadav’s SP, which had younger Brahmin leaders like tech savy ex-IIM Ahmedabad professor Abhishek Mishra. Whereas the SP emerged a transparent winner with 224 seats, the BSP plunged to only 80 seats (126 seats and 4.52% votes lesser than 2007 determine) which was decrease than 2002 polls figures,” Lucknow based mostly political commentator Anshuman Shukla mentioned.
All the political panorama and caste dynamics of UP underwent a sea change with arrival of Narendra Modi model of BJP politics in 2014, which not solely gained again the Brahmins, however created a stable vote financial institution of non-Jatav SC voters, non-Yadav OBC (together with Patels, Mauryas, Lodhis, Kushwahas, Jats and Rajbhars) and higher caste, giving round 44% profitable vote to the BJP. T
The BJP’s success story continued in 2017 meeting polls with the BJP profitable a file 312 seats by itself (SP simply 47 and BSP solely 19 seats) and in addition the 2019 polls. In the meantime, Mayawati additionally mentioned the BSP MPs will elevate points such because the rise in gasoline and cooking gasoline costs and issues associated to COVID-19 vaccination through the Monsoon session of Parliament which begins on Monday.
Challenges earlier than BSP
Although it has annouced going solo in 2022 polls, it will likely be powerful to win again its as soon as loyal EBC/MBC vote, which BJP is attempting greatest to retain and SP too is eyeing to chop into it by way of tie up with small events.
Entry of Dalit youth icon Chandrashekhar Azad Rawan’s Azad Samaj Occasion, significantly in West UP has dented BSP’s core vote in village panchayat polls.
Firing of senior OBC leaders Lalji Verma and Ramachal Rajbhar from BSP hasn’t gone properly with the Patel and Rajbhar caste voters.
New alliance between ex BJP ally Suheldev Bhartiya Samaj Occasion and AIMIM would possibly harm BSP plans to woo again MBC and Muslim voters.
BSP management resolution to not contest latest district panchayat chairperson and block pramukh polls helped ruling BJP win simply in lots of locations. It has despatched the message of BSP having not directly backed BJP.